Thursday, August 21, 2008

Oil windfall, so why can't Iraq shoulder its own reconstruction burden?

Sunni tribesmen are being paid to not blow up critical northern pipelines. The Basrah oil fields in the south aren't being siphoned nearly as often. So now that Iraq is flush in oil profits, why can't it cover the full costs of its own reconstruction?

An opinion piece in the LA Times, by Linda J. Bilmes and Joseph E. Stiglitz, said:
Iraq sits atop the world's third-biggest known oil reserves, and the Iraqi government keeps a mounting pile of petrodollars firmly tucked away in American banks. A new report by the U.S. Government Accountability Office shows that Iraqi oil revenues will reach up to $85 billion this year, resulting in a budget surplus of as much as $50 billion. But despite all the money that is pouring in, Iraq is not taking responsibility for its own reconstruction.

Instead, the U.S. military is footing the reconstruction bill. Over the last two years, while Iraq has earned nearly $100 billion in oil revenues (and spent just $2 billion on capital investments such as roads, water and electricity), U.S. taxpayers have plowed $48 billion into reconstruction activities in Iraq.

The point is certainly a frustrating one, but one must to be careful not to assume the Iraqi government wants the U.S. to pay for everything simply because it doesn't want to spend its own money. This view doesn't account for the complexities of building a functioning government here.

True, Iraq can't seem to spend the surplus, NY Times article. It spent only about 20 percent of its 2006 capital budget. The Ministry of Oil and electricity only spent about half their capital budgets in 2007.

For a country that is in desperate need to improve its electrical system to utilize the increased oil output, this is a huge problem. Baghdad only averages six hours of electricity on a good day. The electric grid has suffered from twenty-five years of neglect and war. To modernize it they need the expertise of energy contractors who abandoned Iraq when the insurgency worsened, leaving many projects unfinished. Some are hesitant to return, others haven't been able to collect payment.

One of the main problems is the fledgling government has inherited an inefficient financial bureaucracy with cumbersome rules, an oil adviser to the Prime Minister said in a presentation to a U.S. development group. The Ministry of Finance controls the budget expenditures for all the other ministries, and is notoriously slow and tight-fisted about releasing money.

Within the ministries themselves even upper-level managers don't have authority to sign off on routine expenditures without the approval of the inspector general. Recently some critical procurement projects at the Ministry of Oil have tried to "fast-track" projects by bringing in the inspector general and his people first, so they become facilitators rather than gatekeepers.

Ministry employees are also "handcuffed" by fear of being accused of corruption, the adviser said. Managers are reluctant to put their name on a contract for fear of being swept up in a scandal.

Letters of Credit to pay outside contractors regularly take six months to process because they must go through the labyrinth-like Trade Bank of Iraq. Why would a large energy contractor come to Iraq if they fear not only for their safety, but also of not getting paid?

The message from the State Department and USAID is that they will no longer outright buy Iraq new power plants and refineries, but instead will facilitate the return of these contractors to provide new construction and technical help to bring Iraq's state employees up to international standards.

This will take years, a little like weaning a young Lebron James off an allowance. He will soon be giant, and Iraq has potential to be one of the world's last suppliers of additional oil capacity, but first it must take the difficult steps of becoming a financially self-sustaining government.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Very good topic to be raised here; one that is not addressed in concern often enough.
Not sure what to say, other then I laugh whenever I still hear some tree-hugging hippy claim the war was all for oil.
Too bad we can't be paid back for the destruction we have encountered over there, inflicted upon our soldiers, vehicles, and equipment!

David M said...

The Thunder Run has linked to this post in the blog post From the Front: 08/25/2008 News and Personal dispatches from the front and the home front.

Anonymous said...

excellent article on a point not talked about much here in the states...stay strong jimmy..c$note

Spicaro said...

i always like to say that war is the best business because the product gets used twice. once in the destruction and once in the reconstruction. i still can't place my head around why we can't use that money if it's in our banks and regulated by our laws. shit, then at least we could give the tree huggers and hippie mugre the ability to proclaim that we were there for the oil. i always said that i might be more in favor of the u.s. occupation of iraq if i were getting a check sent to my house from all the military contracts, government subsidies, and reconstruction of Iraq.

na'mean

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td6 said...

I can accept challenging the hippie/tree huggers that say it's all for oil. There is certainly much more at play. For instance, a neo-con interest in building permanent bases in the Middle East.

I hope the first comment from "anonymous" was meant to be sarcastic when suggesting we be "paid back." If you decide to fight a war in somebody else's country, you can't very well expect the "host" country to pay for your losses. Perhaps they would like to be compensated for civilian losses and destroyed infrastructure. We made the bed, we must lie in it.

And even though I support the end of an American presence, I realize that damning the Iraqis for not standing up is B.S. I want our troops home safe, but I realize the price will be chaos --- whenever we leave. The Iraqis didn't ask us to come in the first place; they didn't ask for De-Bathification; they didn't ask for their military to be summarily disbanded; and they are not in a position to develop a functioning democracy, surge or no surge.

Hell, 235 years into our "Great Experiment" with democracy, we're still trying to get this thing right. My one dollar and ten cents.....

unclejbgd said...

I think our great experiment with democracy has been fairly successful. We after all have the longest standing government and constitution in the world. An American or multi-national presence in the Middle East is more than a neo-con interest, it really is of world interest. Iraq will eventually be able to secure it owns future and support their economy and government efforts with their oil revenues, it just takes time. Remember it took the U.S. time to establish its own independence, inreality we could not assert ourselves until after the War of 1812. That is 38-40 years after our declared independence. Understanding the intricacies of freedom and democracy takes time. More time unfortunately than our SITCOM society will allow.